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Red156
151041.8
430419.8
94861.6
Blue146
378739.8
322134.0
468140.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910480100120140156146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.62.2
57.159.3
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 21.2
4681
#32
40.41.9
36.338.2
Auto0.4
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
1510
#14
41.82.2
37.139.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
3787
#33
39.81.9
40.142.0
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4304
#60
19.82.2
18.220.4
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 14.2
3221
#26
34.01.9
32.134.0
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0