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Red88
159552.8
420537.7
154028.1
Blue98
49245.9
247150.0
302419.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118113801001401608898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#12
52.81.7
52.751.0
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 2.8
2471
#18
50.01.0
50.349.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
Second
4205
#44
37.71.7
39.437.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
blue by 8.2
492
#15
45.91.0
45.744.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Third
1540
#54
28.11.7
29.828.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 8.8
3024
#59
19.31.0
21.820.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0