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Red184
131862.5
448884.4
371135.3
Blue130
558822.8
177833.6
491148.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19274050100150250300184130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.40.2
83.583.7
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 36.2
4911
#45
48.22.0
43.245.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
62.50.2
61.561.7
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 28.8
1778
#46
33.62.0
31.633.6
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0
Third
3711
#38
35.30.2
35.135.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 12.6
5588
#62
22.82.0
20.822.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0