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Red138
294434.4
321831.0
95563.4
Blue113
214935.0
36039.2
99735.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610250150200138113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
63.40.6
62.362.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
red by 24.1
360
#42
39.20.2
39.139.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
2944
#29
34.40.6
33.834.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 1.5
997
#36
35.80.2
35.735.8
Auto0.2
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Third
3218
#40
31.00.6
30.431.0
Auto0.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2149
#50
35.00.2
34.935.0
Auto0.9
Teleop34.1
End0.0