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Red68
430419.8
568327.9
549529.9
Blue178
451335.5
366364.5
491836.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713105010015020025068178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5495
#35
29.90.6
30.429.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 34.6
64.52.6
58.861.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
Second
5683
#57
27.90.6
28.427.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
4918
#28
36.62.6
33.936.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
4304
#60
19.80.6
20.419.8
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 15.7
4513
#16
35.52.6
32.635.2
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0