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Red80
378739.8
214730.4
406150.9
Blue113
511130.3
367447.9
446942.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261158010014016018020080113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#11
50.92.2
54.652.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
47.90.4
48.147.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Second
3787
#33
39.82.2
42.039.8
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4469
#24
42.20.4
41.841.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
2147
#31
30.42.2
32.530.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Level
5111
#48
30.30.4
30.730.3
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0