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Red178
546827.6
94861.6
358621.2
Blue166
252254.7
491545.2
378922.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94114050150200250300350178166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.63.9
59.363.2
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 6.9
2522
#20
54.72.6
52.054.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
5468
#53
27.63.9
23.727.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 17.7
45.22.6
42.545.0
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Third
3586
#52
21.23.9
17.421.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3789
#51
22.82.6
20.222.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0