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Red160
151041.8
252140.9
468140.4
Blue137
358835.2
299047.8
574828.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141016080140160180160137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1510
#14
41.82.2
39.341.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
blue by 5.9
2990
#13
47.81.5
45.947.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
Second
2521
#25
40.92.2
38.740.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 5.7
3588
#56
35.21.5
33.635.2
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
4681
#32
40.42.2
38.240.4
Auto0.4
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 12.0
5748
#58
28.41.5
26.928.4
Auto0.1
Teleop28.4
End0.0