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Red124
358835.2
48833.4
252140.9
Blue132
252254.7
406150.9
420537.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79118050100150200250124132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#25
40.91.8
30.232.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 13.9
2522
#20
54.70.8
52.253.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
3588
#56
35.21.8
30.532.3
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 15.8
4061
#11
50.90.8
37.738.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
488
#37
33.41.8
27.729.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4205
#44
37.70.8
26.627.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0