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Red139
357436.7
95563.4
36039.2
Blue140
198384.7
367447.9
468140.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116139050100200250300350139140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
63.40.7
52.953.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
blue by 21.3
84.70.0
79.279.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
Second
360
#42
39.20.7
33.934.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.4
End0.0
blue by 8.7
47.90.0
29.729.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Third
3574
#41
36.70.7
37.538.2
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4681
#32
40.40.0
32.032.0
Auto0.4
Teleop40.0
End0.0