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Red99
382630.3
204636.2
406150.9
Blue66
142537.2
558822.8
358621.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955501502009966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#11
50.90.3
38.438.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 13.8
1425
#27
37.20.1
29.529.7
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
2046
#17
36.20.3
29.730.0
Auto1.7
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 13.4
5588
#62
22.80.1
19.419.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
3826
#49
30.30.3
24.124.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 9.1
3586
#52
21.20.1
14.514.7
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0