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Red154
49245.9
321925.4
366364.5
Blue92
36039.2
367447.9
302419.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197105010015020025015492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.51.9
56.158.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
red by 16.5
47.90.5
29.630.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Second
492
#15
45.91.9
48.450.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
360
#42
39.20.5
34.635.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
3219
#30
25.41.9
11.613.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
3024
#59
19.30.5
17.017.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0