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Red112
252254.7
451335.5
357436.7
Blue86
151041.8
412524.1
446942.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207205010015020011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#20
54.70.3
53.052.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 12.5
4469
#24
42.20.2
37.737.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
3574
#41
36.70.3
38.238.0
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1510
#14
41.80.2
27.427.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Third
4513
#16
35.50.3
25.925.6
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 11.4
4125
#63
24.10.2
17.317.5
Auto0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0