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Red142
294434.4
159552.8
247150.0
Blue204
448884.4
378739.8
255067.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89175050150200250300142204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#12
52.81.8
42.844.6
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
blue by 31.6
84.41.8
76.278.0
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
2471
#18
50.01.8
39.841.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
blue by 17.0
67.01.8
53.955.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
Third
2944
#29
34.41.8
23.225.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3787
#33
39.81.8
37.939.7
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0