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Red78
293046.8
549529.9
468140.4
Blue64
358835.2
491545.2
177833.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93802040601001201401607864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#43
46.80.8
45.444.6
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
45.20.5
30.730.3
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
4681
#32
40.40.8
32.031.2
Auto0.4
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 5.3
3588
#56
35.20.5
32.331.8
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
5495
#35
29.90.8
16.916.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1778
#46
33.60.5
22.221.7
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0