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Red112
252140.9
420537.7
95563.4
Blue105
255729.9
511130.3
260542.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157850100150200112105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
63.40.1
53.753.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
red by 21.0
2605
#22
42.40.9
37.438.3
Auto0.5
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Second
2521
#25
40.90.1
32.032.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
5111
#48
30.30.9
25.726.6
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
4205
#44
37.70.1
27.327.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 7.8
2557
#55
29.90.9
23.624.5
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0