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Red116
491836.6
511130.3
142537.2
Blue71
48833.4
177833.6
36039.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7787020030040050011671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#27
37.21.7
29.731.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
360
#42
39.20.9
35.234.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
4918
#28
36.61.7
25.527.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 2.9
1778
#46
33.60.9
21.720.8
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0
Third
5111
#48
30.31.7
26.628.4
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
488
#37
33.40.9
32.131.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.5
End0.0