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Red81
255067.0
371135.3
357436.7
Blue83
406150.9
321925.4
299047.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132850501001502008183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.02.4
55.753.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
red by 16.0
4061
#11
50.90.6
38.838.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
3574
#41
36.72.4
38.035.5
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 11.1
2990
#13
47.80.6
43.542.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
Third
3711
#38
35.32.4
35.933.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 9.9
3219
#30
25.40.6
13.512.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0