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Red80
412524.1
574828.4
294434.4
Blue138
568327.9
367447.9
546827.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656320408010012080138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2944
#29
34.40.7
25.125.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 13.6
47.93.6
30.233.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
Second
5748
#58
28.40.7
22.723.5
Auto0.1
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
5683
#57
27.93.6
16.319.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
4125
#63
24.10.7
17.518.3
Auto0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5468
#53
27.63.6
20.023.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0