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Red104
290742.2
252254.7
154028.1
Blue98
321831.0
339336.9
263548.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069540608012014016018010498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#20
54.70.2
52.752.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
2635
#23
48.40.1
45.345.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Second
2907
#34
42.20.2
35.034.8
Auto0.2
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 5.3
3393
#47
36.90.1
30.730.6
Auto0.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
1540
#54
28.10.2
20.119.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3218
#40
31.00.1
24.023.9
Auto0.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0