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Red107
358621.2
131862.5
323843.1
Blue65
511130.3
294434.4
84723.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066305015020010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.2
50.250.5
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 28.1
2944
#29
34.40.3
22.922.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
3238
#19
43.10.2
38.338.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 12.7
5111
#48
30.30.3
25.224.8
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
3586
#52
21.20.2
14.214.4
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.9
847
#61
23.10.3
23.623.3
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0