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Red207
445049.3
131862.5
491545.2
Blue132
378739.8
498035.3
252140.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12681050100150200207132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.54.2
54.058.2
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 21.6
2521
#25
40.92.0
32.034.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
4450
#21
49.34.2
39.543.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
3787
#33
39.82.0
39.741.8
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
45.24.2
30.334.4
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 10.0
35.32.0
19.721.8
Auto0.6
Teleop34.7
End0.0