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Red141
214935.0
430419.8
159552.8
Blue109
293046.8
214730.4
358621.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88774060100120140160141109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#12
52.82.6
44.647.2
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 5.9
2930
#43
46.81.4
44.645.9
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
2149
#50
35.02.6
29.532.1
Auto0.9
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
2147
#31
30.41.4
22.323.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
4304
#60
19.82.6
15.418.0
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3586
#52
21.21.4
14.716.0
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0