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Red69
298013.6
491148.2
430419.8
Blue170
94861.6
159552.8
558822.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411405010015020025069170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#45
48.20.3
40.239.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
blue by 13.4
948
#4
61.63.3
45.348.6
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
Second
4304
#60
19.80.3
18.017.7
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 32.9
1595
#12
52.83.3
47.250.4
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Third
2980
#64
13.60.3
16.215.9
Auto1.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 9.2
5588
#62
22.83.3
18.221.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0