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Red105
451335.5
371135.3
247150.0
Blue132
255729.9
142537.2
252140.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008820406080120140160180105132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#18
50.00.4
41.041.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
red by 9.1
2521
#25
40.91.9
35.937.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
4513
#16
35.50.4
28.629.1
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1425
#27
37.21.9
32.234.1
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
3711
#38
35.30.4
32.532.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 5.4
2557
#55
29.91.9
25.127.1
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0