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Red114
177833.6
445049.3
298013.6
Blue224
255067.0
460829.1
198384.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631750100150200250300114224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#21
49.31.6
46.047.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.5
End0.0
blue by 35.4
84.73.0
78.081.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
Second
1778
#46
33.61.6
20.622.2
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0
blue by 33.3
67.03.0
57.860.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
Third
2980
#64
13.61.6
15.917.5
Auto1.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 15.5
4608
#39
29.13.0
27.630.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.3
End0.0