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Red116
214935.0
491545.2
366364.5
Blue155
448884.4
357436.7
574828.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119137050100200250300350116155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.4
60.260.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
blue by 19.9
84.40.8
81.081.8
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
45.20.4
34.835.2
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 8.5
3574
#41
36.70.8
33.934.7
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Third
2149
#50
35.00.4
31.431.8
Auto0.9
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
5748
#58
28.40.8
24.225.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.4
End0.0