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Red120
294434.4
323843.1
446942.2
Blue152
94861.6
204636.2
321925.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139250150200120152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#19
43.10.3
44.344.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
blue by 18.6
948
#4
61.62.9
50.653.6
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
Second
4469
#24
42.20.3
38.839.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
2046
#17
36.22.9
32.735.6
Auto1.7
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
2944
#29
34.40.3
31.231.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 9.0
3219
#30
25.42.9
15.818.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0