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Red134
382630.3
255067.0
298013.6
Blue106
321831.0
260542.4
378739.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051026080120140160134106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.01.4
60.862.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
red by 24.6
2605
#22
42.40.1
42.142.0
Auto0.5
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Second
3826
#49
30.31.4
28.029.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3787
#33
39.80.1
39.639.5
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
2980
#64
13.61.4
17.518.9
Auto1.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 17.4
3218
#40
31.00.1
26.626.5
Auto0.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0