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Red88
142537.2
84723.1
468140.4
Blue73
491836.6
302419.3
412524.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955801502008873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4681
#32
40.40.3
36.235.9
Auto0.4
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 3.8
4918
#28
36.60.9
29.830.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
1425
#27
37.20.3
34.133.9
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 13.1
4125
#63
24.10.9
16.217.2
Auto0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
847
#61
23.10.3
22.822.5
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
3024
#59
19.30.9
20.121.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0