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Red143
378922.8
293046.8
247150.0
Blue178
99735.8
406150.9
95563.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97129050150200250300143178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#18
50.01.9
41.443.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
blue by 13.4
955
#10
63.42.5
53.856.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Second
2930
#43
46.81.9
44.146.0
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4061
#11
50.92.5
45.848.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
3789
#51
22.81.9
20.222.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 13.0
997
#36
35.82.5
28.631.1
Auto0.2
Teleop35.7
End0.0