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Red140
491148.2
358835.2
294434.4
Blue110
263548.4
357436.7
49245.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96129050150200250300140110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#45
48.21.8
40.942.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
blue by 0.2
2635
#23
48.40.9
47.446.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Second
3588
#56
35.21.8
32.133.9
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 10.8
492
#15
45.90.9
46.745.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Third
2944
#29
34.41.8
31.433.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3574
#41
36.70.9
34.733.8
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0