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Red86
323843.1
252140.9
321925.4
Blue68
430419.8
290742.2
546827.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102740501502008668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#19
43.10.7
44.643.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 0.9
2907
#34
42.20.7
39.438.7
Auto0.2
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
2521
#25
40.90.7
37.736.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 13.3
5468
#53
27.60.7
23.723.0
Auto0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
3219
#30
25.40.7
18.718.0
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 5.6
4304
#60
19.80.7
18.217.5
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0