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Red131
299047.8
151041.8
260542.4
Blue78
358621.2
448884.4
339336.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117131020030040013178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#13
47.80.4
45.846.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
blue by 36.6
84.42.8
82.679.8
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
2605
#22
42.40.4
42.042.3
Auto0.5
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 5.4
3393
#47
36.92.8
33.330.6
Auto0.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
1510
#14
41.80.4
35.836.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 20.6
3586
#52
21.22.8
17.915.1
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0