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Red140
446942.2
293046.8
445049.3
Blue111
154028.1
321831.0
142537.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13975050100200250140111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#21
49.30.3
49.249.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 12.2
1425
#27
37.21.1
33.935.0
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
2930
#43
46.80.3
46.046.3
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 15.9
3218
#40
31.01.1
26.527.7
Auto0.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
4469
#24
42.20.3
39.039.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 14.1
1540
#54
28.11.1
27.628.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0