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Red167
290742.2
247150.0
549529.9
Blue80
131862.5
366364.5
378922.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9814605020025030016780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#18
50.02.9
47.650.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
blue by 14.5
64.53.2
59.756.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
Second
2907
#34
42.22.9
38.741.7
Auto0.2
Teleop42.0
End0.0
blue by 20.3
62.53.2
63.260.1
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Third
5495
#35
29.92.9
22.625.5
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
3789
#51
22.83.2
20.617.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0