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Red102
378739.8
36039.2
574828.4
Blue142
339336.9
357436.7
99735.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038750150102142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3787
#33
39.80.1
41.741.6
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 2.9
3393
#47
36.92.5
30.633.0
Auto0.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Second
360
#42
39.20.1
37.237.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
3574
#41
36.72.5
32.334.7
Auto0.3
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Third
5748
#58DQ
28.40.1
25.024.9
Auto0.1
Teleop28.4
End0.0
blue by 7.4
997
#36
35.82.5
30.132.5
Auto0.2
Teleop35.7
End0.0