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Red206
95563.4
198384.7
293046.8
Blue194
445049.3
366364.5
491148.2
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196142100250206194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.2
84.484.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop85.2
End0.0
red by 20.2
64.50.6
62.362.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
Second
955
#10
63.40.2
63.163.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
red by 14.0
4450
#21
49.30.6
47.147.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
2930
#43
46.80.2
46.646.8
Auto1.4
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4911
#45
48.20.6
46.046.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0