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Red199
131862.5
255067.0
446942.2
Blue141
49245.9
491545.2
252254.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168135100150200250199141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.00.5
66.166.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop67.1
End0.0
red by 12.2
2522
#20
54.70.1
54.554.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
62.50.5
61.762.2
Auto1.5
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 16.6
492
#15
45.90.1
45.745.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Third
4469
#24
42.20.5
41.441.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 3.0
45.20.1
45.045.0
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0