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Red121
311736.9
399642.0
544324.4
Blue83
544021.0
495228.5
398816.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7855010015012183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.9
32.833.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 13.5
28.50.5
26.426.9
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
36.90.7
29.530.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 16.0
5440
#11
21.00.5
18.919.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
5443
#26
24.40.9
15.216.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
3988
#28
16.70.4
15.015.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0