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Red84
151133.6
494729.9
353212.9
Blue81
400718.9
544415.3
262620.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784601001508481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.2
33.533.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
2626
#19
20.00.6
19.420.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
29.90.2
29.729.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 11.0
4007
#15
18.90.6
18.318.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
3532
#35
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5444
#14
15.30.5
14.815.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.8
End0.0