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Red164
259051.2
336049.2
552827.1
Blue138
311736.9
399642.0
544324.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11982050100150200250164138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.8
48.249.0
Auto2.7
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 9.2
42.01.0
37.638.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
49.20.8
46.247.0
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 12.3
36.90.8
33.434.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
5528
#18
27.10.9
23.424.4
Auto0.5
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
5443
#26
24.41.0
20.021.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0