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Red73
107514.1
338622.9
449112.9
Blue89
495712.9
495228.5
398618.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801007389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3386
#12
22.92.2
14.416.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 5.6
28.54.8
10.715.5
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
1075
#31
14.13.0
13.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 4.8
3986
#10
18.93.5
12.716.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4491
#24
12.93.0
9.312.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Level
4957
#27
12.94.8
8.313.0
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0