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Red18
544324.4
353212.9
557012.8
Blue66
399031.7
544021.0
262620.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194801001501866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5443
#26
24.416.4
24.48.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.3
31.71.1
21.923.1
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
3532
#35
12.90.5
7.06.5
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5440
#11
21.010.7
21.010.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
5570
#33
12.84.7
12.88.0
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2626
#19
20.01.7
14.916.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0