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Red44
399642.0
544114.9
39756.8
Blue41
353312.2
416718.0
495019.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292820253035404441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.2
11.512.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 23.0
4950
#22
19.02.5
11.614.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
5441
#20
14.95.2
14.99.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4167
#16
18.02.5
9.211.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
3975
#41
6.81.2
9.410.6
Auto0.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3533
#38
12.22.5
8.310.8
Auto1.7
Teleop10.4
End0.0