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Red0
39810.8
398816.7
39796.8
Blue0
399642.0
49423.1
495228.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2744010015020000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#28
16.70.0
11.411.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 25.3
42.02.6
12.710.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
3979
#42
6.80.1
11.311.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 21.7
28.52.6
18.916.2
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
3981
#47
0.80.1
7.97.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4942
#46
3.12.6
11.79.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End0.0