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Red26
495712.9
416718.0
338715.6
Blue40
311736.9
495019.0
50955.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393702060802640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4167
#16
18.01.1
9.68.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 18.9
36.90.0
15.415.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
3387
#25
15.60.6
13.913.2
Auto1.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4950
#22
19.00.0
11.911.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4957
#27
12.91.1
15.214.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 7.6
5095
#44
5.30.0
12.912.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0