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Red0
29611.8
353012.9
54396.0
Blue30
544415.3
557012.8
399031.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2737050100150200030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3530
#39
12.91.2
10.89.7
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 18.7
31.70.0
24.224.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
296
#34Sur
11.81.9
10.78.7
Auto0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5444
#14Sur
15.30.0
5.95.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
5439
#43
6.01.9
7.85.9
Auto0.5
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 6.8
5570
#33
12.80.0
6.26.2
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0