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Red68
336049.2
39810.8
494729.9
Blue94
398618.9
151133.6
259051.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497601001502006894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.6
34.234.9
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
51.21.0
43.344.3
Auto2.7
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
29.91.1
13.114.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
33.61.6
16.317.9
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
3981
#47
0.81.1
7.98.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0
blue by 18.1
3986
#10
18.91.0
15.416.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0