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Red87
400718.9
557012.8
338622.9
Blue103
398816.7
561828.0
399642.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3146010015020087103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3386
#12
22.92.6
15.718.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 19.1
42.04.8
18.022.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
4007
#15
18.94.4
12.416.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 9.1
28.04.8
16.020.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
5570
#33
12.84.4
6.210.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3988
#28
16.72.9
11.414.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0